We’re already past the “it’s getting late early” stage of the 2018 season, and every series is critical from here on out. Especially in this stretch where the Yankees are scheduled against one inferior team after another. No excuses. No series losses or splits, only sweeps and wins. Or fuggitaboutit.
CC vs The Rangers
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The Big Man has made 23 career starts against the Texas Rangers with an 11-6 record at a 5.41 ERA. He is coming off a solid outing against the White Sox where is struck out 12 over 5.2 innings, but didn’t get a decision in the Yankees 4-3 victory. To date, CC is 6-4 with a 3.49 ERA over 21 starts.
With the formidable Rangers lineup, Sabathia ($7,700) has to watch out for Shin-Soo Choo ($4,600) (8-23, .400 with 1 home run) and Adrian Beltre ($4,000) (12-41, .293 with 3 doubles and 2 home runs). Second baseman Rougned Odor ($4,900) is swinging the bat well of late.
Martin Peréz vs The Yankees
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Over 3 career starts, lefthander Martin Peréz is 2-1 against the Yankees with a 8.52 ERA. He last faced New York on September 8, 2017 in Arlington where he scattered 8 hits and 2 earned runs over 5.1 innings, which was good enough for the win. Didi Gregorius took him deep, but Texas hitters torched Masahiro Tanaka for 7 earned runs over 4 innings, en route to an 11-5 beatdown of New York.
That game was apparently payback for the 21-5 drubbing the Yankees put on Texas the previous July. After a scoreless first, Peréz was shelled for 8 earned runs in the second inning. That was the game where starter Chris Capuano gave up 5 earned runs in the first, and New York responded with 11 in the second frame. Diego Moreno came in to pitch 5.1 innings of no-hit ball while the offense put up the 21-run assault. Adam Warren earned his first save of the campaign. A memorable game in a tough season.
Peréz is 2-4 with a 6.15 ERA over 10 starts so far in 2018, allowing 36 earned runs over 52.2 innings, including 11 home runs. Right-handed batters are raking against him to the tune of a .369 BA over 176 plate appearances. 10 of the 11 dingers he’s served up have come from righties. Super small sample sizes from current Yankees, and only Didi ($4,800) and Giancarlo Stanton ($5,400) have homered off Peréz.
The Wise Guys
The dinero is on a New York victory (-216 moneyline) and a 9.5 over/under. The Rangers are 5-2 against the spread versus the Yankees over their last 7 matchups in New York, and 13-4 against the spread in their last 17 overall.
Remember this is for speculation only, not meant to be taken as gospel. And don’t forget to double-check your lineup(s) just prior to game time as the weather may create havoc for you. We exist under the manta that “You can’t predict baseball” but it’s fun trying. Good luck with your lineup and let’s go Yankees!