Yankees Fantasy Preview: Reeling Bombers Try to Regroup vs Sale

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Quick rant on last night’s loss. Maybe the worst of the season so far given the circumstances. A scrappy outing from Jordan Montgomery — who pitched in and out of some serious trouble — and a huge go-ahead blast clear out of Fenway from Gary Sanchez. Even more importantly, a lights out night from the bullpen — except the closer.
Chad Green was sensational, Adam Warren got it done, and Dellin Betances was on it. But then … Chapman failed to record an out. He was let down by defensive miscues in the 9th, but couldn’t find the plate and walked in the winning run.
The Yankees’ bullpen have blown 18 save opportunities so far in 2017 — two more than last season’s entire total. Aroldis Champan has officially lost the plot. He needs fixin’ and needs it fast. One or two more outings like this and it wouldn’t be a surprise to hear about him heading to see Dr. Tommy John. Just because.
In retrospect, it’s looking like we got an early-season head fake from this squad — 12 games over .500, 4 game lead in the East, and mashing it every night. Then the injuries piled up and the bottom fell out.
There is still time — hell, we’re 4.5 out on July 14th — but the narrative that this club is building for a serious run in 2018 could become more evident over the summer. And hopefully the brass keeps the top farm prospects intact for that run. In Ca$hMoney we trust!
That said, here’s the rundown on Game 2 of this series.

July 15, 2017 : Yankees @ Red Sox

In the second game of this telling 11-game road trip, the Yankees will face down their old nemesis, Chris Sale. He was out-dueled by Masahiro Tanaka in Fenway on April 27th, pitching into the 9th in a 3-0 loss but he wasn’t exactly scorched. Sale struck out 10 and scattered 8 hits before being lifted.
He’s better at home than on the road (2.34 vs 3.09 respectively), and kills lefties and righties at similar numbers (.222 and .197). Since 2014, he’s kept Yankee hitters to a .175 BA and is a certified PIA whether it’s Fenway, Yankee Stadium or anywhere.
I’m thinking maybe we don’t stack Yankee hitters today. The way to beat Sale is how the Yankees managed to best Pedro Martinez back in the day. You wait him out. Your starter has to match zeros on the scoreboard and hope the game gets turned over to the bullpen — which may not be the best situation in New York’s case these days.
Here’s some thoughts on the 4:05 two-game slate at Draft Kings …
 
Money Line : Red Sox -161, Yankees +151
Over/Under : 7.5
Line Moves : Late $$ coming in on Yanks.

TODAY’S HITTERS

  • Chase Headley ($3,200) : Headley is 6-17 against Sale and the only Yankee on the current roster to take the Boston ace deep (he did it twice). One observation on Chase — he seems to heat up only when the overall lineup is scuffling, and when everybody is barreling it up, he goes into a slide.
  • Clint Frazier ($3,700) : This will be Frazier’s Fenway Park debut and he just seems built for the moment. I’m expecting some dents in the Green Monster, even off of Sale. His draft price already shot up a grand (last week he was a bargain basement $2,700), so get him while he’s still relatively inexpensive.
  • Hanley Ramirez ($3,600) : A relative bargain for a certified Yankee-killer. Ramirez only sports a .250 career BA (116 ABs) against New York, but he gets the big hits. Of his 14 home runs this season, 10 have come off of right-handers.
  • Victor Martinez ($3,200) : The Tiger’s DH is slowly coming out of his slump upon coming off the DL, and has solid numbers against Toronto starter Francisco Liriano, .419/.486/1.195 over 31 ABs.

TODAY’S PITCHERS

  • Chris Sale ($13,000) : A budget-buster for sure, but 10+ Ks is not out of the question. Almost a must for small game contests. Spend the dough and focus on high value hitters!
  • Luis Severino ($10,400) : This is huge start for Sevy. After the nightmare that was yesterday (a lot of bad news and a gut-wrenching loss), a gem here would be what the doctor ordered — for his place in the rotation (as in ace), and for the team. Time to step up.
  • Michael Fulmer ($9,400) : Although the wise guys have Toronto a slight favorite in this matchup, Fulmer has been fairly solid over his last five starts. He’s been keeping the walks down and will bring you 5 or 6 Ks, so we’re expecting another quality start at home for the righty.

TRENDS

• Chris Sale has kept opposing hitters to a .187 BA in his last 8 home starts.
• The Yankees are 1-3 in Severino’s last 4 starts against the Red Sox.
• After last night’s loss, the Yankees are 2-7 in their last 9 games at Fenway.
• The Yankees are 19-25 on the road, while Boston is 26-14 at home.
• The Yankees are 10-9 as an away underdog, with a 26-16 mark against the AL East..
 
THE FINE PRINT : The fantasy lineup suggestions are purely speculation and should not be taken as gospel. Anything can and will happen in a baseball game, but this content is designed to provide a starting point for your lineup research. Best of luck, and let’s go Yankees!
 

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