Offense Expected in Hellickson vs Montgomery Matchup

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Hellickson vs Montgomery in today's matchup on September 17, 2017
Today’s starter Jordan Montgomery pitching against the Baltimore Orioles on September 4, 2017. Photo Credit: Keith Allison

With eyes still on the division title (no thanks to Tampa last night, blowing a 3-run lead in the 9th), the New York Yankees are expected to keep taking it to the beleaguered pitching staff of the Baltimore Orioles.

Saturday, September 16, 2017 vs Baltimore Orioles

Key Stats At-A-Glance

Money Line : Birds +160, Yankees -170
Over/Under : 10
Line Moves : Late somolies coming in on New York
The Ballpark : Yankee Stadium is regarded as a hitter’s park.
Gametime Weather : 78°, partly cloudy, Wind E 8 MPH, 15% chance of rain.

Trends

• Baltimore is 1-7 in their last eight games at Yankee Stadium, losing their last five.
• Baltimore is 2-8 in their last 10 games, falling 5.5 back of the second wild card slot.

Starting Pitchers

Jemery Hellickson ($5,100) : Traded by the Philadelphia Philles to Baltimore at the non-wavier trade deadline (for Hyun-soo Kim and Garrett Cleavinger), Hellickson currently fills the 5 hole in the Orioles rotation. He had a commanding first start for the O’s, throwing seven shutout innings against the Kansas City Royals, but success has eluded him since, going 1-4 over seven starts with a 7.82 ERA.

The right-hander relies on an 82MPH change up, a four-seam fastball that hits 90MPH, and a sinker, also around 90. He’ll also mix in a knuckle-curve (77MPH) and a cutter in the high 80s.

Bottom Line : Hellickson is coming off a loss against Cleveland in his last start, giving up 2 long balls over six innings. With a 5.23 ERA and 1.25 WHIP overall, he fares slightly better on the road (4.59 ERA). This will be his second career start at Yankee Stadium and his first one didn’t last long — allowing 5 hits, 4 BB and 3 ERs over 2.1 innings. That game ended in Manny Machado’s 2-run walk off homer against Dellin Betances.

Gary Sanchez will not be in the starting lineup, as Austin Romine will catch and Chase Headley will DH, but the overall lineup hitting well, look for the Yankees to keep the hammer down in today’s 4:00PM EST start. The only Yankees with 20+ ABs against Hellickson are Jacoby Ellsbury (7-19, 1 3B, .259) and Brett Gardner (6-21, .286). Only Chase Headley has homered off Hellickson, his only hit in 5 ABs.

Jordan Montgomery ($6,800) : The Yankees selected Montgomery in the fourth round of 2014 MLB draft, the 122nd overall pick. After pitching his way up through New York’s minor leagues, he was a 2017 spring training invite, and ultimately made his major league debut on April 12. On June 9th Montgomery pitched seven innings and struck eight (both then-career highs) against the Orioles. He took a no hitter into the 6th on July 25th against the Cincinnati Reds, which was broken up by a Scott Schebler double.

The left-handed Montgomery relies heavily on his 81MPH curveball (with a mean 12-6 drop) and 92MPH sinker, mixing in a changeup at 85MPH, a 92MPH four-seam fastball and a slider that hits the mid-80s.

Bottom Line : Montgomery will not rack up a ton of strikeouts, but he’s grinder who gets into and out of trouble, usually getting the hook around the fifth inning. He has performed well in his first season, and the Yankees are looking at him to be a fixture in the rotation for years to come.

Hitters to Consider (Or Not)

  • Aaron Judge ($5,600) : It’s either walks or dingers with Judge lately, and it could be dinger time today. Since the start of September, he hasn’t gone more than two games without blasting one.
  • Greg Bird ($3,000) : After missing one game with lower back issues, Bird returned and crushed one up to the second deck yesterday. Look for him to have better at bats as the pennant race heats up. A nice pick for the price.
  • Brett Gardner ($4,500) : Maybe a bit pricey, but Gardy is primed to extend his 6 game hitting streak, including three multi-hit games. Also a good stolen base threat.
  • Tim Beckham ($4,200) : All of the O’s have small samples sizes against Montgomery, but Beckham stands out (2-6 with a HR), along with Mark Trumbo (3-10, 1 RBI and 1 BB). Chris Davis has one home run in seven ABs against Montgomery.

THE FINE PRINT : The fantasy lineup suggestions are purely speculation and should not be taken as gospel. Anything can and will happen in a baseball game, but this content is designed to provide a starting point for your lineup research. Best of luck, and let’s go Yankees!

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