BOMBERS LOOKING TO END EOVALDI’S HEX, KEEP HOME STREAK ALIVE
The good news is that Gleyber Torres and Gary Sanchez are showing signs of getting their groove back at the plate, and starter James Paxton seems to have his velocity issue going in the right direction. The somewhat concerning news is that the main thing in between preserving the 13-6 Yankees home unbeaten streak is tonight’s starter for the 6-14 Red Sox: Nasty Nathan Eovaldi.
We see a tight, low scoring game decided by a run or two. Eovaldi will get his 8 or 9 strikeouts, and probably keep a limit on any big innings for the Bronx Bombers. This game needs to be decided against Eovaldi, not the Red Sox pen, which is their main strength at the moment. Clint Frazier or Luke Voit going yard are good possibilities as well.
Here’s a little background to hopefully help fill out your daily fantasy baseball lineups with some good options from tonight’s Yankees vs Red Sox contest. Good luck, and let’s go Yankees!
DRAFTKINGS CONTEST : Lineup tips and player salaries are for the MLB Showdown $500 Quarter Jukebox, a ‘showdown’ contest starting at 7:05pm EST, 4:05am PT.
TV / RADIO : TV: YES, Radio: WFAN 660/101.9 FM, WADO 1280; BOSTON: WEEI 93.7, WCCM 1490AM; TV: NESN
THE WISE GUYS : The sportsbooks have this a close tilt, with a moneyline consensus of New York -152 and Boston +142, and an Under/Over of 9.
FAST FACTS :
- The Red Sox are 0-7 straight up in their last 7 games against the Yankees.
- They are 0-8 straight up in their last 8 games at Yankee Stadium.
- The Yankees are 7-1 (87.5% success rate) as a Home Favorite so far in 2020.
- As an Away Underdog, Boston is 3-5 (37.5% success rate).
- Boston is an MLB-worst 3-10 (23.1% success rate) in their next game after a loss.
BALLPARK CONDITIONS : By game-time this evening the temperature is expected to be a mild 78° under mostly cloudy skies with winds from the East at 11mph. There is a 10% chance of some wet stuff.
PITCHING MATCHUP : Tonight the Yankees will start The Big Maple, lefty James Paxton (0-1, 7.84 ERA, WHIP 1,74, 16Ks, $16,200) versus Boston’s Nathan Eovaldi (1-1, 4.09 ERA, WHIP 1.27, 24Ks $14,700) .
We always get nervous when a former Yankee pitcher faces us, especially one we’ve given up on or simply traded before they could get a legitimate shot at a rotation spot. Not too long ago, we thought the next 2 Yankee no-hitters or perfect games would come from one, if not both, of Nathan Eovaldi and Michael Pineda. When in the zone, both had no-no stuff. Filthy, unhittable, sometimes uncatchable. But those moments where few and far between.
The Yankees obtained Eovaldi in a December 2014 trade with the Miami Marlins, which also included Garrett Jones, and Domingo Germán. New York sent IF Martín Prado and right-hander pitcher David Phelps to the Fish.
Everywhere Eovaldi pitched, he showed tantalizing flashes of brilliance despite some stats that might argue otherwise (allowing the most hits in National League (233 in 2014, lopsided win-loss records, etc.). The injuries that kept him from reaching his full potential in New York and Tampa subsided when he arrived in Boston (of course they did, with a division rival and not just any division rival!)
Eovaldi brings a career mark of 47-55, 4.23 ERA and 734 strikeouts into tonight’s game, with an arsenal that relies on a 97mph four-seam fastball, an 89mph slider, 88mph splitter, along with a 79mph curve and a 92mph cutter — nothing he throws is soft. He is most successful when he finishes off hitters either up the ladder or in the dirt.
In 5 career starts against the Yankees, Eovaldi is 1-1 with a 1.95 ERA and WHIP of 0.804, and 28 strikeouts across 32.1 innings, walking only 5 and allowing 1 home run. That’s a reasonable argument for some ownage.
YANKEES HITTING NOTES How nasty has Nate been? He has LeMachine ($10,400) hitting .133 against him in 15 ABs! Gleyber Torres ($9,200), Aaron Hicks (not starting) and Brett Gardner ($7,000) are the only other Yankees with double-digit ABs against Evo (Hicks with the most at 16) and their average are .143, .188 and .182 respectively. The question is can he sustain this level of dominance against his former team.
So far in 2020, Eovaldi is pitching to a 5.40 ERA on the road, with rightys hitting him at a .351 clip overall.
- OF Clint Frazier ($6,800) is off to a smoking hot return, going 4-8, .500BA with a home run and 3 RBI. His bat speed might just be what the doctor ordered to counter Eovaldi’s near-100mph four-seamer.
- 1B Luke Voit ($7,600), second in home runs for New York at 5, also swings a quick bat and can take Evo deep.
- OF Mike Tauchman ($6,600) is htting right-handed pitching at a .385 clip, with 4 doubles and 7 RBI.
For New York, Paxton is coming off what could be considered a strong bounce-back effort from previous starts, but probably should have be pulled after the 6th inning.
RED SOX HITTING NOTES : Here’s who Paxton needs to be careful with tonight:
- OF J.D. Martinez (7-17, .412 BA, 2 HRs, 5 RBI, 1.415 OPS, $8,600)
- OF Jackie Bradley, Jr. (7-15, .467 BA, 1.129 OPS, $5,200)
- 3B Rafael Devers (4-12, .333 BA, .845 OPS, $9,600)
INJURED LIST : Yankees on the IL include Aaron Judge (mild right calf strain, 10-day), Aroldis Chapman (COVID-19, 10-day), Luis Severino (elbow, out for the season), C Kyle Higashioka (right oblique strain, 10-day), Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring, 10-day) and Tommy Kahnle (forearm, out for the season, Tommy John).
BOSTON INJURED LIST : SS Xander Bogaerts (lower-half, 10-day), 2B José Peraza (leg, dad-to-day), OF Andrew Benintendi (Rib, 10-Day), 3B Rafael Devers (Ankle, day-to-day), P Eduardo Rodriguez (heart condition, out for season), P Chris Sale (elbow, 60-day), 2B Dustin Pedroia (knee, 60-day).
IMPORTANT : Check back after the official lineups have been announced (usually by 2pm EST), and definitely double-check your DraftKings MLB fantasy line at least 15-20 minutes prior to gametime (7:05pm EST/4:05pm PT) to make sure all of your picks are starting. Good luck, and Let’s Go Yankees!
FANTASY BASEBALL STRATEGY TIPS If you’re new to daily fantasy baseball or need a quick refresher course in putting an effective lineup together, don’t miss our “How to get your DraftKings MLB groove back in 2020” article. A short but sweet tutorial on proven strategies to help position you to win some dineros!